Today's ideas
2026-10-21 US market trend: UP — above its long-term average9
today's ideas
44
Open ideas
506
resolved ideas
43%
made money
Buy today 📈 3 months ⭐ flagship
each card = one idea · bar = where price sits between exit and goal
$38.80$58.99
Signalled at$52.26
Price now$49.34 (-5.6%)
below entry - better price now
Exit by2027-01-20
$329.50$403.68
Signalled at$378.95
Price now$369.00 (-2.6%)
below entry - better price now
Exit by2027-01-20
$27.62$29.57
Signalled at$28.92
Price now$28.90 (-0.1%)
still near entry
Exit by2027-01-20
Buy today 🌙 1 month · secondary
each card = one idea · bar = where price sits between exit and goal
$350.40$393.23
Signalled at$378.95
Price now$369.00 (-2.6%)
below entry - better price now
Exit by2026-11-20
$44.49$56.15
Signalled at$52.26
Price now$49.34 (-5.6%)
below entry - better price now
Exit by2026-11-20
$299.31$353.13
Signalled at$335.19
Price now$336.54 (+0.4%)
still near entry
Exit by2026-11-20
Buy today ⚡ ~2 weeks · secondary
each card = one idea · bar = where price sits between exit and goal
$28.40$29.18
Signalled at$28.92
Price now$28.90 (-0.1%)
still near entry
Exit by2026-11-04
$488.46$555.20
Signalled at$532.95
Price now$521.08 (-2.2%)
below entry - better price now
Exit by2026-11-04
$336.82$411.30
Signalled at$386.47
Price now$374.58 (-3.1%)
below entry - better price now
Exit by2026-11-04
What's scheduled next
scheduled releases that move these assets · context, not forecast
Oil, last published
Brent spot$96.02
US crude stocks424.5M bbl
week change-4.5M
2026-08-28EIA
Scheduled releases that move these assets, and the energy data as last published. This is context, not a forecast — we do not predict whether oil or stocks go up. Size down or wait ahead of a high-impact release.
Latest news on what we hold
wire headlines on the ideas above · publisher copy, unranked
Headlines from the wires touching today's ideas, newest first. Publisher copy, shown as published — we don't summarise or score it.
Open positions · resolving by week
each tile = one open idea · colour = profit or loss right now · dark = exit level already hit, this idea is over · stopped ideas are counted inside DOWN
week of 19 Oct · this week
week of 26 Oct · next week
week of 02 Nov
week of 09 Nov
week of 16 Nov
week of 30 Nov
week of 07 Dec
week of 14 Dec
week of 28 Dec
week of 04 Jan
week of 11 Jan
week of 18 Jan
Already open — don't re-buy (44)
published earlier and still running · already counted, do not re-buy
| % | day | Exit below | Goal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 📜 US long-term bonds | +4.8% | 9/10
|
$74.53 | $79.71 |
| 🥈 Silver | -5.3% | 2/10
|
$46.77 | $54.80 |
| -6.9% | 10/10
|
$313.03 | $365.92 | |
| 🥇 Gold | -3.6% | 5/10
|
$358.57 | $394.78 |
| 💡 Nasdaq-100 tech index | -4.5% stopped | 8/10
|
$712.21 | $762.96 |
| 💵 US Dollar | -0.1% | 1/10
|
$28.40 | $29.18 |
| 🤖 Nvidia | -7.1% | 7/10
|
$207.28 | $239.14 |
| 🚗 Tesla | -3.1% | 1/10
|
$336.82 | $411.30 |
| 💻 Microsoft | -2.2% | 1/10
|
$488.46 | $555.20 |
| 👥 Meta/Facebook | -8.0% | 3/10
|
$619.81 | $748.26 |
| 🔌 Utilities sector | +7.3% | 13/21
|
$36.80 | $41.56 |
| 🥈 Silver | -5.6% | 1/21
|
$44.49 | $56.15 |
| 🏪 US small companies index | -1.9% | 21/21
|
$261.66 | $292.05 |
| 📜 US long-term bonds | +4.8% | 9/21
|
$72.98 | $80.48 |
| 🥇 Gold | -2.6% | 1/21
|
$350.40 | $393.23 |
| 💊 Johnson & Johnson | +5.0% | 12/21
|
$226.89 | $268.72 |
| 💵 US Dollar | +0.0% | 14/21
|
$28.20 | $29.24 |
| 🚗 Tesla | +5.6% | 4/21
|
$291.79 | $386.19 |
| 🏭 Dow Jones index | +1.7% | 3/21
|
$489.06 | $533.85 |
| 💰 Banks & finance sector | +1.7% | 2/21
|
$51.65 | $57.76 |
| 🏦 JPMorgan bank | +0.4% | 1/21
|
$299.31 | $353.13 |
| 🏪 US small companies index | +2.0% | 3/63
|
$232.51 | $290.66 |
| 🇺🇸 S&P 500 index | -0.5% | 26/63
|
$688.97 | $786.59 |
| 🏦 JPMorgan bank | -8.2% stopped | 62/63
|
$327.14 | $394.95 |
| 💻 Microsoft | +4.2% | 53/63
|
$434.11 | $587.83 |
| 🥈 Silver | -5.6% | 1/63
|
$38.80 | $58.99 |
| 💵 US Dollar | -0.1% | 1/63
|
$27.62 | $29.57 |
| 👥 Meta/Facebook | +10.4% | 56/63
|
$494.79 | $712.14 |
| ⚡ Energy sector | +13.5% | 58/63
|
$55.20 | $65.35 |
| 💊 Johnson & Johnson | +2.4% | 9/63
|
$209.46 | $287.43 |
| 🌾 Commodities basket | +14.0% | 58/63
|
$27.58 | $31.94 |
| 🥇 Gold | -2.6% | 1/63
|
$329.50 | $403.68 |
| -8.5% | 53/63
|
$304.49 | $420.71 | |
| 📱 Apple | +12.0% | 55/63
|
$274.47 | $359.71 |
| 🔌 Utilities sector | +7.6% | 14/63
|
$34.32 | $42.59 |
| 🤖 Nvidia | -5.8% | 48/63
|
$199.40 | $259.50 |
| 📦 Amazon | -4.7% | 48/63
|
$225.66 | $311.97 |
| 💰 Banks & finance sector | -3.9% stopped | 48/63
|
$55.90 | $61.17 |
| 💡 Nasdaq-100 tech index | -2.4% | 24/63
|
$637.92 | $763.21 |
| 🖥 Technology sector | -2.0% | 34/63
|
$152.50 | $202.70 |
| 🛢 Oil | +2.6% | 30/63
|
$114.03 | $180.56 |
| 🏭 Dow Jones index | +0.7% | 2/63
|
$471.29 | $550.90 |
| 📜 US long-term bonds | +4.3% | 7/63
|
$70.54 | $82.29 |
| 🏗 Industrial sector | -0.2% | 6/63
|
$142.15 | $179.49 |
Track record
one pot of money spread across whatever was open each day
506
resolved ideas
218 / 506
made money (43%)
+0.75%
avg per idea
+0.8%
if you'd followed every idea
“Made money” is the share of ideas that ended in profit — it is not a return. The line below is what one pot of money would have done spread evenly across whichever ideas were open each day — the real calendar, not ideas stacked end to end. It mixes all idea-lengths together — see the full breakdown.
Risk-adjusted (live to date)
annualised return
+1.5%
worst drop
-1.4%
avg win / avg loss
1.74
Sharpe and Sortino need a longer live record than we have, so we don't print them yet — in 17 years of testing the 3-month strategy scored 1.11 against the S&P 500's 0.92. Hit rate alone is misleading — a 42% hit rate with big winners beats a 60% hit rate with big losers. These are the numbers that say which one this is. Live sample is short, so read them as early signal, not proof.
See the full breakdown by idea length →
The honest numbers
Validated on 17 years of unseen data (2009-2025): the 3-month strategy returned more than double the S&P 500 at a similar worst-case dip — it is our strongest. The shorter 10-day and 1-month strategies roughly matched the market once risk is counted, and we say so plainly. Our live results so far show 41% of finished ideas in profit, below the tested 58%. We found the reason: we were publishing an exit rule (a stop-loss) that was never part of what we tested — it closed 58% of ideas early, often just before they recovered. Corrected on 2 September 2026. Every idea from before that date stays on the record, unchanged. The 3-month strategy's first results land now — and they carry that old exit rule. Every 3-month idea resolving before December was published before the fix, so those numbers are not a clean read on the strategy. The first six show it: five were closed early by the old rule and averaged −4.4%; the same six held to their full term averaged +0.3%. We publish them as they stand, and the first uncontaminated 3-month results arrive in December. We publish every result, wins and losses. Educational information, not financial advice.
Community reviews
TTest
2026-06-05
👍
Great transparency, first review!