Today's ideas
2026-09-04 US market trend: UP — above its long-term average10
today's ideas
48
Open ideas
274
resolved ideas
43%
made money
Buy today 📈 3 months ⭐ flagship
each card = one idea · bar = where price sits between exit and goal
$40.29$69.58
Signalled at$59.82
Price now$59.82 (-0.0%)
still near entry
Exit by2026-12-04
$636.06$760.41
Signalled at$718.96
Price now$718.96 (+0.0%)
still near entry
Exit by2026-12-04
$320.28$450.02
Signalled at$406.77
Price now$406.77 (-0.0%)
still near entry
Exit by2026-12-04
Buy today 🌙 1 month · secondary
each card = one idea · bar = where price sits between exit and goal
$48.55$65.46
Signalled at$59.82
Price now$59.82 (-0.0%)
still near entry
Exit by2026-10-04
$119.62$153.13
Signalled at$141.96
Price now$141.96 (+0.0%)
still near entry
Exit by2026-10-04
$671.10$742.89
Signalled at$718.96
Price now$718.96 (+0.0%)
still near entry
Exit by2026-10-04
$39.42$44.91
Signalled at$43.08
Price now$43.08 (+0.0%)
still near entry
Exit by2026-10-04
Buy today ⚡ ~2 weeks · secondary
each card = one idea · bar = where price sits between exit and goal
$52.04$63.71
Signalled at$59.82
Price now$59.82 (-0.0%)
still near entry
Exit by2026-09-18
$78.44$79.52
Signalled at$79.16
Price now$79.16 (+0.0%)
still near entry
Exit by2026-09-18
$372.31$424.00
Signalled at$406.77
Price now$406.77 (-0.0%)
still near entry
Exit by2026-09-18
What's scheduled next
scheduled releases that move these assets · context, not forecast
Oil, last published
Brent spot$96.02
US crude stocks424.5M bbl
week change-4.5M
2026-08-28EIA
Core PPI m/m
USD · High
forecast0.3%
previous0.2%
2026-09-10 08:30equity_beta
PPI m/m
USD · High
forecast0.4%
previous0.0%
2026-09-10 08:30equity_beta
Unemployment Claims
USD · Medium
forecast205K
previous206K
2026-09-10 08:30dollar_credit
GDP m/m
GBP · High
forecast0.0%
previous0.3%
2026-09-11 02:00dollar_credit
Core CPI m/m
USD · High
forecast0.2%
previous0.2%
2026-09-11 08:30equity_beta
Core CPI y/y
USD · High
forecast2.4%
previous2.5%
2026-09-11 08:30equity_beta
Scheduled releases that move these assets, and the energy data as last published. This is context, not a forecast — we do not predict whether oil or stocks go up. Size down or wait ahead of a high-impact release.
Latest news on what we hold
wire headlines on the ideas above · publisher copy, unranked
| 2026-09-05 | QQQ | Insiders and Early Investors Are Selling SpaceX Stock and Index Funds Are Buying It. Which Side Do You Want to Be On? | The Motley Fool |
| 2026-09-01 | QQQ | Is Invesco S&P 500 Pure Growth ETF (RPG) a Strong ETF Right Now? | Zacks Investment Research |
| 2026-08-28 | QQQ | What I Learned From Investing Through 3 Big Stock Market Crashes | The Motley Fool |
| 2026-08-27 | QQQ | Why the Summer Slump is Setting Up Wall Street's Next Rally | Zacks Investment Research |
| 2026-08-25 | QQQ | Warren Buffett Once Warned That the Stock Market Is "Playing With Fire" When His Famed Indicator Hits Over 200%. Should Investors Be Worried? | The Motley Fool |
| 2026-08-22 | XLU | What Would Alan Greenspan Say About This Stock Market? | The Motley Fool |
| 2026-08-22 | QQQ | The Smartest ETF to Buy With $750 Right Now | The Motley Fool |
Headlines from the wires touching today's ideas, newest first. Publisher copy, shown as published — we don't summarise or score it.
Open positions · resolving by week
each tile = one open idea · colour = profit or loss right now · dark = exit level already hit, this idea is over · stopped ideas are counted inside DOWN
week of 31 Aug · this week
week of 07 Sep · this week
week of 14 Sep · next week
week of 21 Sep
week of 28 Sep
week of 12 Oct
week of 19 Oct
week of 26 Oct
week of 02 Nov
week of 09 Nov
week of 16 Nov
week of 23 Nov
week of 30 Nov
Already open — don't re-buy (48)
published earlier and still running · already counted, do not re-buy
| % | day | Exit below | Goal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🔌 Utilities sector | +0.7% | 10/10
|
$41.76 | $44.12 |
| 👥 Meta/Facebook | +12.2% | 10/10
|
$524.37 | $583.94 |
| 🧾 Corporate bonds (high-yield) | +0.0% | 0/10
|
$78.44 | $79.52 |
| 🥈 Silver | -0.0% | 0/10
|
$52.04 | $63.71 |
| 🥇 Gold | -0.0% | 0/10
|
$372.31 | $424.00 |
| 🏦 JPMorgan bank | +0.3% | 5/10
|
$349.81 | $368.04 |
| 🖥 Technology sector | +0.9% | 5/10
|
$180.63 | $192.44 |
| 💡 Nasdaq-100 tech index | +0.1% | 1/10
|
$685.41 | $734.95 |
| 📜 US long-term bonds | +0.2% | 1/10
|
$79.39 | $83.41 |
| 💰 Banks & finance sector | +0.5% | 21/21
|
$56.34 | $59.77 |
| 🏛 Berkshire Hathaway | -3.0% stopped | 21/21
|
$509.01 | $545.41 |
| 🇺🇸 S&P 500 index | -2.4% | 21/21
|
$748.42 | $795.41 |
| -4.5% | 20/21
|
$325.54 | $392.64 | |
| 💻 Microsoft | +0.9% | 15/21
|
$458.56 | $544.51 |
| 🤖 Nvidia | +2.9% | 20/21
|
$206.94 | $246.65 |
| 🥈 Silver | -0.0% | 0/21
|
$48.55 | $65.46 |
| ⚡ Energy sector | +3.5% | 15/21
|
$58.89 | $65.93 |
| 🌾 Commodities basket | +6.3% | 15/21
|
$28.96 | $31.39 |
| 🥇 Gold | -0.5% | 5/21
|
$392.22 | $431.11 |
| 👥 Meta/Facebook | +12.2% | 10/21
|
$512.90 | $599.23 |
| 🚗 Tesla | +1.5% | 5/21
|
$321.73 | $384.77 |
| 💡 Nasdaq-100 tech index | +0.0% | 0/21
|
$671.10 | $742.89 |
| 🔌 Utilities sector | +0.0% | 0/21
|
$39.42 | $44.91 |
| 🖥 Technology sector | +0.7% | 1/21
|
$166.65 | $195.63 |
| 🛢 Oil | +0.0% | 0/21
|
$119.62 | $153.13 |
| 📱 Apple | +2.9% | 22/63
|
$274.47 | $359.71 |
| -4.5% | 20/63
|
$304.49 | $420.71 | |
| 🖥 Technology sector | +0.7% | 1/63
|
$152.50 | $202.70 |
| 💡 Nasdaq-100 tech index | +0.0% | 0/63
|
$636.06 | $760.41 |
| 🧾 Corporate bonds (high-yield) | -0.8% stopped | 33/63
|
$78.98 | $80.55 |
| 🌾 Commodities basket | +8.3% | 25/63
|
$27.58 | $31.94 |
| 💵 US Dollar | +0.4% | 1/63
|
$26.96 | $28.47 |
| 🏗 Industrial sector | -2.0% | 32/63
|
$167.89 | $193.47 |
| 💻 Microsoft | -0.1% | 20/63
|
$434.11 | $587.83 |
| 🛢 Oil | -16.6% stopped | 59/63
|
$107.47 | $157.31 |
| ⚡ Energy sector | +7.6% | 25/63
|
$55.20 | $65.35 |
| 👥 Meta/Facebook | +4.9% | 23/63
|
$494.79 | $712.14 |
| 🥈 Silver | -0.0% | 0/63
|
$40.29 | $69.58 |
| 💊 Johnson & Johnson | +5.7% | 15/63
|
$239.10 | $288.68 |
| 🚗 Tesla | -18.3% stopped | 36/63
|
$319.41 | $486.59 |
| 🔌 Utilities sector | -0.7% | 21/63
|
$40.41 | $47.35 |
| 🏪 US small companies index | +0.1% | 5/63
|
$285.36 | $309.60 |
| 🇺🇸 S&P 500 index | -2.0% | 10/63
|
$743.25 | $795.67 |
| 🏦 JPMorgan bank | +0.7% | 29/63
|
$327.14 | $394.95 |
| 🥇 Gold | -0.0% | 0/63
|
$320.28 | $450.02 |
| 🤖 Nvidia | +2.3% | 15/63
|
$199.40 | $259.50 |
| 📦 Amazon | -1.6% | 15/63
|
$225.66 | $311.97 |
| 💰 Banks & finance sector | -0.1% | 15/63
|
$55.90 | $61.17 |
Track record
one pot of money spread across whatever was open each day
274
resolved ideas
118 / 274
made money (43%)
+0.78%
avg per idea
+2.3%
if you'd followed every idea
“Made money” is the share of ideas that ended in profit — it is not a return. The line below is what one pot of money would have done spread evenly across whichever ideas were open each day — the real calendar, not ideas stacked end to end. It mixes all idea-lengths together — see the full breakdown.
Risk-adjusted (live to date)
annualised return
+6.5%
worst drop
-1.3%
avg win / avg loss
1.82
Sharpe and Sortino need a longer live record than we have, so we don't print them yet — in 17 years of testing the 3-month strategy scored 1.11 against the S&P 500's 0.92. Hit rate alone is misleading — a 42% hit rate with big winners beats a 60% hit rate with big losers. These are the numbers that say which one this is. Live sample is short, so read them as early signal, not proof.
See the full breakdown by idea length →
The honest numbers
Validated on 17 years of unseen data (2009-2025): the 3-month strategy returned more than double the S&P 500 at a similar worst-case dip — it is our strongest. The shorter 10-day and 1-month strategies roughly matched the market once risk is counted, and we say so plainly. Our live results so far show 41% of finished ideas in profit, below the tested 58%. We found the reason: we were publishing an exit rule (a stop-loss) that was never part of what we tested — it closed 58% of ideas early, often just before they recovered. Corrected on 2 September 2026. Every idea from before that date stays on the record, unchanged. The 3-month strategy's first results land now — and they carry that old exit rule. Every 3-month idea resolving before December was published before the fix, so those numbers are not a clean read on the strategy. The first six show it: five were closed early by the old rule and averaged −4.4%; the same six held to their full term averaged +0.3%. We publish them as they stand, and the first uncontaminated 3-month results arrive in December. We publish every result, wins and losses. Educational information, not financial advice.
Community reviews
TTest
2026-06-05
👍
Great transparency, first review!